Trying to solidify the evidence of the large number of missing kids in Virginia talked about in these threads.
This 'evidence' was pulled from www.missingkids.com which does not provide downloadble statistics. Meaning that whoever created graphs like these:
had to manually search the website of www.missingkids.com and copy the numbers, which makes them questionable. Or they must be script-kiddies that copied the database. But I wasn't convinced, so started digging to search for (big) data and ran into a couple of interesting things:
the FBI's NCIC (National Crime Information Center) has published statistics about 'Missing Person and Unidentified Person Statistics' from 2007* to 2015 - *I didn't search for earlier numbers
These FBI reports do not split any data by state, or age, but hey it's the FBI. They certainly know. So could you ask them? I'm not a US citizen, I just would like to know.
I did not copy all data into a sheet to actually compare (too much work), so disclaimer: the following is a loose statement based on observation: *I was triggered by this https://voat.co/v/pizzagate/1454609 suspected that the number of missing kids could increase leading up to Halloween..
Looking at the second table in the FBI links called NCIC Missing Persons (Monthly Totals), and comparing years. It seems that May & October - together with April & March always among highest number of cases.* This can be verified if anyone is interested.
As my search for 'by state' data of missing children continued a lot of sources where referring to NISMART and this is where it get's interesting.
According to Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NISMART
" NISMART or the National Incidence Studies of Missing, Abducted, Runaway and Throwaway Children, was a research project supported by the United States Department of Justice. It was enacted to address the 1984 Missing Children's Assistance Act (Pub.L. 98-473). This required the Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention (OJJDP) to conduct periodic national incidence studies to determine the actual number of children reported missing and the number recovered. "
Finding data on NISMART-1 from 1988, seemed unrelevant. NISMART-2 which was initiated in 1999 and published in 2002 and can be accessed.
This research is mentioned in almost every research on child abuse I've found, even here on VOAT it's been used to debunk the "800.000 children go missing every year" statement https://voat.co/v/pizzagate/comments/1435600 however it's based on one 1997 sample group and is not actively monitored. * I didn't plowed through the datasets+inlog for their prediction on stats for Virginia.
So where is NISMART-3 ??? Good question! here is a timeline of evidence that seems to suggest that ..ehmm? yes what happened exactly?
And now in June of 2016 this got released
How did they publish only this almost 6 years after the start of the project? By looking at the Grant Application they had much much bigger goals back in 2010. https://www.ojjdp.gov/grants/solicitations/FY2010/NISMART3.pdf So are we still waiting, or is Wikipedia right that it was a research?
*I've lost a reference, will look it up. It was something about the ambition to make NISMART a triannual thing, by law..
HERE COME THE KIDS
Anyway after finding all of this, I wasn't one bit closer to the missing kids in Virginia, so I said ff it, I'll do it. Back to www.missingkids.com* who make some compelling trafficking infographics btw http://www.missingkids.com/en_US/desktop/CST-Full-1-5-2016.png
The website http://www.fugitivehunter.org/Statemissing.html made opening 52 tabs pretty easy. Copy+paste & voila!
guess we could have trusted the original posters of the information on the #extremly high rate of children missing in Virginia, this is shocking!
http://i.imgur.com/Pfkxu57.png
- Virginia has a 260% higher rating of missing children than the US average for missing childeren when accounted for population size
- Also note that Virginia bordering state West Virginia has the lowest rating?
- Compare this with the map of Huffington Post, looks like completly different picture!
open link below, and verify and copy this document please!
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Eouq0m_g-TLQ42qkTaG0yzs9PnQ1l_sdsaYBskh8h38/pubhtml
if someone could write a importxml, so we can auto scrub the links from missingkids.com, that would be nice
Guess the real question is: Is Virginia really this scary or are there tactics at play over at missingkids.com?
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SpikyAube ago
Maybe we could get a team of researchers to each take a few of the kids missing in Virginia in 2016 and look into them, see what comes up - are they all going missing from one place/children's home, did they all attend the same school/church, do they have parents? Are their parents all in huge financial trouble, who do their parents work for etc. I think if we looked into all these kids we might find some useful patterns.
tjarco ago
Yes, agreed.. if we agree to rely on the missingkids.com data. Honestly I think the FBI has much clearer data and can pull reports like you are suggesting out of their databases within seconds.
SpikyAube ago
Yeah probably, but we're not the FBI so will have to do it the old fashioned way! Are you up for looking up say the first 5 kids? And I'll do the second 5?