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FantomasSF ago

Kinda weird and don’t know of it’s related but there’s a data scientist named Youyang Gu out of MIT who has been creating the projection model for Covid19

Youyang Gu

Data Scientist / Creator of covid19-projections.com

covid19-projections.comMassachusetts Institute of Technology

kestrel9 ago

Youyang Gu wants to keep the US shut down (even though death rate is less than 1% according to his calculations) Scientist whose coronavirus model is used by CDC warns states may have to close again

https://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:https://reason.com/2020/05/01/covid-19-modeling-how-many-coronavirus-deaths-by-the-end-of-summer/

Interestingly, Gu and his colleagues also report that their model "determined that the true mortality rate for COVID-19 in most regions in the world is less than 1%.

I think his models need to parse the hot spots from the lesser affected States and counties. I'd bet that 90% of the predicted deaths in the next can be accounted for within a handful of places. Not all opening strategies or closing strategies are equal. New York screwed themselves during the Chinses new year celebrations imho.