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SerialChiller ago

The 2020 data is only for 11 months. If you annualize the 2020 death rate (i.e. extrapolate 11 months of data to the full 12 months), it is slightly higher than 2019. (2.89 million)

  • 11 months through 11/28/2020: 2,654,825
  • Implied monthly average: 2,654,825 / 11 = 241,347
  • 12 months estimate using monthly average: 241,347 X 12 = 2,89,6164

It is in keeping with the trend from prior years - i.e. a slight increase each year. If anything, the data proves that Covid-19 has not significantly altered mortality outcomes, even if it does not indicate fewer deaths than last five years.