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stuartangel11 ago

Yea its gross me and the two ladies ive been working with are putting together a map today of where exactly these kids were taken from and the proximity to DC its crazy they all are within 175 miles of DC and its mostly Black and Hispanic children

i_am_the_ginger ago

Is it from Arlington and Fairfax?

stuartangel11 ago

There are basically none in Maryland

stuartangel11 ago

Yea the whole Northern Va area. Also Richmond and Va beach areas. I live in Va near Roanoke and we basically have none. Its nuts its like the Bermuda Triangle of Missing Kids

pizzaparallel ago

It looks like a lot but it's actually almost perfectly proportional to the percentage of Virginia's population that lives in Northern Virginia.

Missing Children in Northern Virginia and Approximate Distance from DC (Defined to include Arlington, Fairfax, Loudoun, and Prince William counties and the independent cities of Alexandria, Fairfax, Falls Church, Manassas, and Manassas Park because that's what I have population statistics on)

Fairfax (IC and County): 57 (19.6 miles) Alexandria (IC): 19 (8.6 miles) Arlington (City and County): 5 (4.6 miles) Falls Church (IC): 1 (9.8 miles) Mclean (Fairfax County): 2 (11 miles) Bristow (Prince William County): 1 (39.7 miles) Centreville (Fairfax County): 1 (25 miles) Springfield (Fairfax County): 2 (13.7 miles) Lorton (Fairfax County): 1 (19.8 miles) Vienna (Fairfax County): 1 (17.2 miles) Herndon (Fairfax County): 2 (24.2 miles) Leesburg (Loudon County): 5 (41.3 miles) Sterling (Loudon County): 1 (29.7 miles) Prince William (County): 1 (30.53 miles) Woodbridge (Prince William County): 1 (23.2 miles) Manassas (IC): 25 (31 miles)

Total = 125

125/396* = 31.56% of all missing children in Virginia

*398 is total Virginia missing children. 2 records don't have city/county locations

Population of Northern Virginia (2013) = 2,775,354

Population of Virginia (2013) = 8,185,867

27775354/8185867 = 33.904%

For comparison, there's 9 in Roanoke. 9/396 = 2.27%

While the population of Roanoke makes up only 1.20% of the Virginia population.

stuartangel11 ago

Thanks for doing the math ive been all over the place today... How do we account for the #2 ranking in the country?

pizzaparallel ago

No problem. I just wanted to cover our bases because if our claims can't stand up to other explanations, we won't convince anyone.

I haven't found anything to explain why Virginia has such a high percentage of missing children.

Population-wise, using estimates from 2013

VA population: 8,185,867

US Population: 316,500,000

8185867/316500000 = 2.586%

But based on the numbers I got yesterday, adding up all missing children from all missing states = 3889

From VA alone there was a total of 398. 398/3889 = 10.23%

So about 4 times the percentage that would be proportional to the VA population. That seems odd but I'm trying to think about other possible explanations.

Another thing that is interesting, more kids are missing in 2016 from Virginia than from any other state.

Total Kids missing between 1/1/2016 – 12/1/2016 = 1563

CA Population of US = 12.142% 2016 Missing Population = 154/1563 = 9.853% Difference = -2.289%

TX Population = 8.376% 2016 Missing Population = 140/1563 = 8.957% Difference = +.581%

FL Population = 6.193% 2016 Missing Population = 163/1563 = 10.429% Difference = +4.236

NY Population = 6.224% 2016 Missing Population = 62/1563 = 3.967% Difference = -2.257

VA Population = 2.586% = 2016 Missing Population = 285/1563 = 18.234% Difference = +15.648

The other states are within 5% of their population percentages but Virginias is off by more than 3 times that. Of course, there's no reason that the number NEEDS to be proportional to the population but I don't have a plausible explanation for this discrepancy.

stuartangel11 ago

You are awesome. Yea we were getting about 4x the average also. Cool if I post this on twitter and Gab?? I'm gonna look into Cps and see what I can find out. I'm in Virginia and am familiar with how this place works. Even Nova and the beach are good old boy networks so we will see....I keep you posted. Thanks again.

pizzaparallel ago

Yeah that's fine. Sounds good. Good luck.