No, I base it on the way the polls are done now, and what the polls don't count. Basically, the "scientific" polls get more inaccurate as time goes on. "random" participation gets lower and lower each year, and, especially this year, there's a lot of fear about being found out as an X supporter (trump, obviously,) - why would you give that information to someone that could then come egg your house, or stalk you on social media?
Sorry, entirely too many reasons to go through, tbh. That bitch has nowhere near the viewers on any live stream, orders of magnitude less retweets, the google searches show people wanting to change their votes, and "vote hillary" dropping to near zero some days ago, among other key phrases.
The guy packs out any place he holds a rally, and she can only snag a few thousand at the very most, and barely a hundred many times? No way are first-time voters going for her, and those are absolutely not counted on any of the polls that map draws from.
"have you voted in the last 2 elections?" "no?" "ok, you aren't likely to vote then, thanks for your time" <--- that's more or less what they say.
Basically Hillary is a less than 2-1 favorite the weekend before the election. If you had told me Trump would be this close I would have gazed in disbelief.
Still, he apparently doesn't have a big chance to win. I hope people, when they're polled, don't dare to admit they will vote Trump, so that Clinton's prospects show up exaggerated.
Crensch ago
What an embarrassing mischaracterization, and even exaggeration were it remotely true.
Maybe you don't like being shown to be wrong. I posit that the more intelligent would be happy to be proven wrong on something. I know I am.
Say what you need to say to help you sleep at night, I guess.
antiracist ago
You CAN NOT address P2, idiot. You are WRONG!
@eagleshigh @SarMegahhikkitha @heygeorge @iamashill
Here I explain to him his only logical options
Here he denies logic and runs away
Propositional logic proof of unchanged changer: https://voat.co/v/Theology/comments/1254796
Defense of P2. https://voat.co/v/Theology/1359748
More defense of P2: https://voat.co/v/Theology/1338628
antiracist ago
@iamashill
@Crensch is an idiot.
Teehee 2=0 because Krauss told me so. Teehee, Stephen Hawking is an atheist so I am too!
"You don't even understand null hypothesis, or apparently, epistemology." ~~~ Idiot Crensch
"Philosophy is garbage for the weak-minded." ~~~ Idiot Crensch
"I don't know if you saw where I compared his logic argument to Euclidean geometry, but he seems stuck at "the angles of a triangle add up to 180 degrees!" and is unable to process a triangle on the surface of a sphere." ~~~ Idiot Crensch
Logic don't real cuz non-Euclidean geometry.
And you pretend you're on the side of logic. Fuck you idiot Crensch.
Exhibit A that Crensch can't work a dictionary: Soundness
Exhibit B that Crensch can't work a dictionary: Cues
Exhibit C that Crensch can't work a dictionary: Philosophy
Exhibit D that Crensch can't work a dictionary: Deserves
Exhibit E that Crensch can't work a dictionary: Morality
Exhibit F that Crensch can't work a dictionary: Strawman
Exhibit G that Crensch can't work a dictionary: Dialetheism
Exhibit H that Crensch can't work a dictionary: Pragmatism
Exhibit I that Crensch can't work a dictionary: Necessarily
Exhibit J that Crensch can't work a dictionary: Absurd
Exhibit K that Crensch can't work a dictionary: Necessity
Exhibit L that Crensch can't work a dictionary: Claim
Exhibit M that Crensch can't work a dictionary: Knowledge
Here I explain to him his only logical options
Here he denies logic and runs away
Propositional logic proof of unchanged changer: https://voat.co/v/Theology/comments/1254796
Defense of P2. https://voat.co/v/Theology/1359748
More defense of P2: https://voat.co/v/Theology/1338628
Crensch ago
Handy link I still had up from earlier. http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-11-04/market-indicator-gives-trump-86-chance-winning-election
Tons of shit like that that I've come across.
Also, tweets and google searches mean more than all the polling being done, so what, exactly, is your argument?
Crensch ago
Oh, like I said, it might be announced that the cunt wins, but it will have been stolen. Period.
Crensch ago
No, I base it on the way the polls are done now, and what the polls don't count. Basically, the "scientific" polls get more inaccurate as time goes on. "random" participation gets lower and lower each year, and, especially this year, there's a lot of fear about being found out as an X supporter (trump, obviously,) - why would you give that information to someone that could then come egg your house, or stalk you on social media?
Sorry, entirely too many reasons to go through, tbh. That bitch has nowhere near the viewers on any live stream, orders of magnitude less retweets, the google searches show people wanting to change their votes, and "vote hillary" dropping to near zero some days ago, among other key phrases.
The guy packs out any place he holds a rally, and she can only snag a few thousand at the very most, and barely a hundred many times? No way are first-time voters going for her, and those are absolutely not counted on any of the polls that map draws from.
"have you voted in the last 2 elections?" "no?" "ok, you aren't likely to vote then, thanks for your time" <--- that's more or less what they say.
con77 ago
I wave signs for Trump at busy intersections. Supporters outnumber detractors 30 to 1.
Crensch ago
That is so insanely wrong, I don't even know where to begin.
No fucking way the map will look anything like that without serious, serious vote manipulation.
Sans MASSIVE voter fraud, the don will take almost every state.
Joe_McCarthy ago
Basically Hillary is a less than 2-1 favorite the weekend before the election. If you had told me Trump would be this close I would have gazed in disbelief.
Quaestorr ago
Still, he apparently doesn't have a big chance to win. I hope people, when they're polled, don't dare to admit they will vote Trump, so that Clinton's prospects show up exaggerated.