Russia can't invade a country they are already living in. Russia will just come in to pick up the pieces. I'll give it a 70% chance they'll move in before the year ends.
Ok. Do you want to make a bet on that? How about if Russia doesn't move into the US before January 1, 2016, you pay me $25, and if they do, I pay you 30 Euros, $30, or 1500 rubles whichever you prefer (in case the US dollar is no longer an operating currency). Interested?
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JoshuaZ ago
/u/samtrovaum
What probability do you estimate for a Russian invasion of the US before January 1, 2016?
samtrovaum ago
Russia can't invade a country they are already living in. Russia will just come in to pick up the pieces. I'll give it a 70% chance they'll move in before the year ends.
JoshuaZ ago
Ok. Do you want to make a bet on that? How about if Russia doesn't move into the US before January 1, 2016, you pay me $25, and if they do, I pay you 30 Euros, $30, or 1500 rubles whichever you prefer (in case the US dollar is no longer an operating currency). Interested?